Econometric models use by the study of marriages in the Russian Federation

Abstract

Econometric models use by the study of marriages in the Russian Federation

Tsvil M.M., Shumilina V.E.

Incoming article date: 29.03.2015

Econometric analysis of the marriages number in Russia is presented in this article for the reflec-tion and predict of seasonal fluctuations. The additive model explaining 95% of the total variation of the time series levels of the of the marriages number during the study period is built.

Keywords: seasonal component, time series, marriages, econometric model, trend, random component, mov-ing average, analytical alignment