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  • Features of technical risk assessment under non-deterministic stochastic parameters

    The quantitative methods of risk assessment of technological processes of manufacture and the analysis of level of deficiency of products in the conditions of nondeterministic stochastic parameters are considered. The properties defining reliability of process are its controllability, stability and reproducibility. The main methodical device by assessment and the analysis of these properties are provisions of standards on statistical methods of quality control. In the analysis and assessment of risk it is necessary to consider that borders of a tolerance zone of parameters of products and control limits of reliability of technological processes of its production are always considered as acceptable (admissible) risk levels. Overcoming these levels is considered a negative consequence in the form of increase in level of deficiency of products and decrease in accuracy of technological processes of its production. Technical solutions are always bound to risk as it is never impossible to be sure of the end estimated result in advance. To check whether this risk was justified, it is possible always only after realization of technical solution and approach of an undesirable event. Therefore technical activity in principle can't be completely free from any risk, and it is always necessary to go on necessary and justified risk consciously.

    Keywords: technical system, technological process, risk, indeterminacy, management of reliability, negative event, damage, nondeterministic stochastic parameter